I'm so boring -- I was watching something about WW1 and WW2 and wondered what the population of the world would be now if so many people didn't die during those two wars. This includes soldiers and civilians killed. I'm not commenting on individual groups of people, just the population overall.
It's widely recognised that WW1 knocked off 40million people and WW2 knocked off 72million. Had these wars not happened and had these people not been killed but left to live out the rest of their lives naturally... which would have included, for many of them, breeding activity... what effect would that have had on today's population?
I used a pretty conservative statistic of 15 births per 1000 people per annum. This is slightly higher than the US's birthrate now, but significanly higher than Europe's and Japan's current birthrate. Conservative, but good enough for this.
So, if it weren't for WW1 we would have had an extra 40million people in 1917. This population would have, by now, produced 110million additional people. If it weren't for WW2 we would have had another 72million people on the planet in 1946. This population would have, by now, produced 129million additional people.
That'd be 239million more people (or more) on the planet today if it weren't for those two wars. About three quarters of them would've been born in Europe, about a quarter in the US. Europe is currently overcrowded at 500million. Can you imagine it at 680million? The US is currently at 305million. What kind of energy would it use if it were currently at 365million? That'd be 20 percent more than it is now. I'm not even counting casualties from any of the other wars in the 20th Century or earlier.
The point I'm getting at is: The more peace we win between people, the more we have to take seriously moves to reduce the breeding rate.
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"The death of creativity is a pram in the hallway"
- Cyril Connolly